Benchmark Almanac

CMT-Benchmark

GPT-5 30% leads since October 2025
Gemini 3 Deep Think 50.5% leads since February 2026
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Models solve 50 research-level condensed matter theory problems written and checked by a panel of expert physicists. Answers are graded automatically.

Topics cover quantum many-body and classical statistical mechanics. Google cited it in the Gemini 3 Deep Think release in February 2026.

Released
October 2025
Kind
Research science
Level
Research frontier
Scored
Checked automatically
Answers
Short answer
Tasks
All public
Strongest model tested
GPT-5 #70 on the capability index
Last in a launch post
July 2026, dropped before it saturated
Last model added
July 2026
Scores refreshed
November 12th, 2026

In the authors’ words

Large language models (LLMs) have shown remarkable progress in coding and math problem-solving, but evaluation on advanced research-level problems in hard sciences remains scarce. To fill this gap, we present CMT-Benchmark, a dataset of 50 problems covering condensed matter theory (CMT) at the level of an expert researcher. Topics span analytical and computational approaches in quantum many-body, and classical statistical mechanics. The dataset was designed and verified by a panel of expert researchers from around the world. We built the dataset through a collaborative environment that challenges the panel to write and refine problems they would want a research assistant to solve, including Hartree-Fock, exact diagonalization, quantum/variational Monte Carlo, density matrix renormalization group (DMRG), quantum/classical statistical mechanics, and model building. We evaluate LLMs by programmatically checking solutions against expert-supplied ground truth. We developed machine-grading, including symbolic handling of non-commuting operators via normal ordering. They generalize across tasks too. Our evaluations show that frontier models struggle with all of the problems in the dataset, highlighting a gap in the physical reasoning skills of current LLMs. Notably, experts identified strategies for creating increasingly difficult problems by interacting with the LLMs and exploiting common failure modes. The best model, GPT5, solves 30% of the problems; average across 17 models (GPT, Gemini, Claude, DeepSeek, Llama) is 11.4±2.1%. Moreover, 18 problems are solved by none of the 17 models, and 26 by at most one. These unsolved problems span Quantum Monte Carlo, Variational Monte Carlo, and DMRG. Answers sometimes violate fundamental symmetries or have unphysical scaling dimensions. We believe this benchmark will guide development toward capable AI research assistants and tutors.

Abstract of CMT-Benchmark: A Benchmark for Condensed Matter Theory Built by Expert Researchers (arXiv:2510.05228, CC0)
17
Entries on its own leaderboard, 11 models we track
2
Launch posts list it, from 2 labs

GPT-5 leads with 30% among models released by August 2025

Best score per entry from the benchmark's own leaderboard, read on November 12th, 2026. Where a model ran with several settings or harnesses, we keep its best. Names in gray aren't in our model list: fine-tunes, agent systems, products and older models. They don't count toward leaders.

Gemini 3 Deep Think leads with 50.5%, claims included

Best score per model from every source, including labs’ own numbers and claims Epoch AI collected from reports and papers. Labs pick their own settings, so a claim can beat an independent run of the same model.

The newest model with a score here came out in August 2025, and nobody has tested a newer one. Among the 20 highest-ranked models on the capability index, these have no score yet:

  1. 1 GPT-5 paper pre-release (before v1.0.0) 30%
  2. 2 o3 paper pre-release (before v1.0.0) 26%
  3. 3 GPT-5 mini paper pre-release (before v1.0.0) 24%
  4. 4 o4-mini paper pre-release (before v1.0.0) 18%
  5. 5 Gemini 2.5 Pro (snapshot unspecified) paper pre-release (before v1.0.0) 14%
  6. 6 GPT-5 nano paper pre-release (before v1.0.0) 14%
  7. 7 Llama 4 Maverick paper pre-release (before v1.0.0) 12%
  8. 8 Gemini 2.0 Flash (snapshot unspecified) paper pre-release (before v1.0.0) 10%
  9. 9 Claude Opus 4 paper pre-release (before v1.0.0) 10%
  10. 10 Claude Opus 4.1 paper pre-release (before v1.0.0) 8.00%
  11. 11 Claude 3.7 Sonnet paper pre-release (before v1.0.0) 6.00%
  12. 12 Claude Sonnet 4 paper pre-release (before v1.0.0) 6.00%
  13. 13 DeepSeek v3 (snapshot unspecified) paper pre-release (before v1.0.0) 4.00%
  14. 14 Gemini 2.5 Flash (snapshot unspecified) paper pre-release (before v1.0.0) 4.00%
  15. 15 GPT-4.1 paper pre-release (before v1.0.0) 4.00%
  16. 16 Claude 4.1 Sonnet paper pre-release (before v1.0.0) 2.00%
  17. 17 GPT-4o (snapshot unspecified) paper pre-release (before v1.0.0) 2.00%

Source: Official CMT-Benchmark leaderboard

#EntryScoreSettingDateSource
1 GPT-5 30% paper pre-release (before v1.0.0) Aug 2025 Official leaderboard
2 o3 26% paper pre-release (before v1.0.0) Apr 2025 Official leaderboard
3 GPT-5 mini 24% paper pre-release (before v1.0.0) Aug 2025 Official leaderboard
4 o4-mini 18% paper pre-release (before v1.0.0) Apr 2025 Official leaderboard
5 Gemini 2.5 Pro (snapshot unspecified) 14% paper pre-release (before v1.0.0) Official leaderboard
6 GPT-5 nano 14% paper pre-release (before v1.0.0) Aug 2025 Official leaderboard
7 Llama 4 Maverick 12% paper pre-release (before v1.0.0) Apr 2025 Official leaderboard
8 Gemini 2.0 Flash (snapshot unspecified) 10% paper pre-release (before v1.0.0) Official leaderboard
9 Claude Opus 4 10% paper pre-release (before v1.0.0) May 2025 Official leaderboard
10 Claude Opus 4.1 8.00% paper pre-release (before v1.0.0) Aug 2025 Official leaderboard
11 Claude 3.7 Sonnet 6.00% paper pre-release (before v1.0.0) Feb 2025 Official leaderboard
12 Claude Sonnet 4 6.00% paper pre-release (before v1.0.0) May 2025 Official leaderboard
13 DeepSeek v3 (snapshot unspecified) 4.00% paper pre-release (before v1.0.0) Official leaderboard
14 Gemini 2.5 Flash (snapshot unspecified) 4.00% paper pre-release (before v1.0.0) Official leaderboard
15 GPT-4.1 4.00% paper pre-release (before v1.0.0) Apr 2025 Official leaderboard
16 Claude 4.1 Sonnet 2.00% paper pre-release (before v1.0.0) Official leaderboard
17 GPT-4o (snapshot unspecified) 2.00% paper pre-release (before v1.0.0) Official leaderboard
#ModelScoreSettingDateSource
1 Gemini 3 Deep Think 50.5% Feb 2026 Lab model card
2 Tencent Hy3 37.8% Jul 2026 Lab model card
3 GPT-5 30% paper pre-release (before v1.0.0) Aug 2025 Official leaderboard
4 o3 26% paper pre-release (before v1.0.0) Apr 2025 Official leaderboard
5 GPT-5 mini 24% paper pre-release (before v1.0.0) Aug 2025 Official leaderboard
6 o4-mini 18% paper pre-release (before v1.0.0) Apr 2025 Official leaderboard
7 GPT-5 nano 14% paper pre-release (before v1.0.0) Aug 2025 Official leaderboard
8 Llama 4 Maverick 12% paper pre-release (before v1.0.0) Apr 2025 Official leaderboard
9 Claude Opus 4 10% paper pre-release (before v1.0.0) May 2025 Official leaderboard
10 Claude Opus 4.1 8.00% paper pre-release (before v1.0.0) Aug 2025 Official leaderboard
11 Claude 3.7 Sonnet 6.00% paper pre-release (before v1.0.0) Feb 2025 Official leaderboard
12 Claude Sonnet 4 6.00% paper pre-release (before v1.0.0) May 2025 Official leaderboard
13 GPT-4.1 4.00% paper pre-release (before v1.0.0) Apr 2025 Official leaderboard

Labs report scores for 2 models in their cards. Switch the scores above to rank them together.

Number one over time 2 models have held number one with claims included since its release in October 2025

Lab claims count from the day the card came out, independent runs from the model’s release.

OpenAI
Own leaderboard Not tested since Oct 2025
GPT-5 30%

Source: Official CMT-Benchmark leaderboard

Scores over time

All the scores we have, one dot each, so a model tested at several settings appears more than once.

On the benchmark’s own leaderboard Reported by the lab in its model card Best so far
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 2025 2026 Near the ceiling (85%) Gemini 3 Deep Think GPT-5 o3 Llama 4 Maverick Claude 3.7 Sonnet 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 2025 2026 Near the ceiling (85%) Gemini 3 Deep Think GPT-5

Sources: Official CMT-Benchmark leaderboard and labs’ model cards

Labs headline it less often now, last in July 2026

Launch posts from every lab that has listed it, one tick per post. Tall colored ticks include it, and short gray ones leave it out.

Google DeepMind
Tencent
DateLaunch postScoreAs the post writes it
Jul 2, 2026 Tencent Hy3 37.8 CMT-Benchmark
Feb 12, 2026 Gemini 3 Deep Think 50.5 CMT-Benchmark

More in Science and reasoning

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