Hindsight Neglect
Models judge whether a bet was worth taking based on expected value rather than its outcome. Scoring is accuracy.
Inverse Scaling Prize task where accuracy fell with scale for earlier models.
- Made by
- Inverse Scaling Prize
- Kind
- Language reasoning
- Level
- Everyday
- Scored
- Checked automatically
- Answers
- Multiple choice
- Tasks
- All public
- Last in a system card
- March 2023
- Last model added
- March 2023
1
System card reports it, from 1 lab
No scores here yet
No lab, leaderboard or Epoch AI run has reported a score for Hindsight Neglect yet.
Labs report it only in system cards
We read the headline results of 522 launch posts from 52 labs, and none of them list this benchmark. Some system cards do, below.
One system card reports it
Besides launch posts, we read the system cards, model cards and technical reports labs publish with a release. They report far more, including safety and frontier-risk tests.
| Date | Document | Score | As the document writes it | Section |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2023 | GPT-4 technical report | Inverse scaling prize, hindsight neglect, accuracy, chart without printed numbers (Figure 3) | Capabilities |
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