Benchmark Almanac

Quant-Arena

Kepler-1 77.6 tops its leaderboard GPT-6 Astra 51.3 leads the models we track
Not in model cards

Models act as quant researchers on 2022 to 2023 China A-share data with bounded feedback, then commit one strategy. A cash-account evaluator with trading costs scores it once on a sealed 2024 window.

Models get raw daily and Level-2 data for 3,042 stocks. The score weights the sealed year 70% and the research window 30%. None of nine frontier models beat the equal-weight market in 2024.

Released
October 2026
Kind
Finance
Level
Expert
Scored
Checked automatically
Answers
Agent task
Tasks
Kept private
Strongest model tested
GPT-6 Astra #3 on the capability index
Last model added
September 2026
Scores refreshed
November 12th, 2026

In the authors’ words

Quantitative research is an iterative loop: a researcher proposes a market hypothesis, implements it as an executable signal, tests it on historical data, and decides what to keep. Existing benchmarks score formulas, code, or individual trading decisions, leaving open whether large language models (LLMs) can complete this loop and produce strategies that work beyond the research period. We introduce Quant-Arena, a benchmark and public leaderboard for end-to-end quantitative research on real A-share market data. A model constructs features and stock-scoring code, receives feedback only on 2022–2023, and freezes one strategy for assessment on the sealed year 2024. A cash-account evaluator applies trading constraints and costs, including market impact estimated from a simulated order book. Scores are dominated by realized excess return and complemented by signal quality and the diversity of features used by the strategy. We evaluate nine frontier models, among which GPT-6 Astra scores highest; yet no model beats the equal-weight market in 2024. Quant-Arena is open to submissions from any model or agent harness.

Abstract of Quant-Arena: Benchmarking LLM Agents for Quantitative Trading Research (arXiv:2610.30113, CC0)
10
Entries on its own leaderboard, 9 models we track

Kepler-1 tops the leaderboard with 77.6

Best score per entry from the benchmark's own leaderboard, read on November 12th, 2026. Where a model ran with several settings or harnesses, we keep its best. Names in gray aren't in our model list: fine-tunes, agent systems, products and older models. They don't count toward leaders. The best model we track is GPT-6 Astra, at 51.3.

The newest model with a score here came out in September 2026, and nobody has tested a newer one. Among the 20 highest-ranked models on the capability index, these have no score yet:

  1. 1 Kepler-1 77.6
  2. 2 GPT-6 Astra 51.3
  3. 3 GPT-6 Sol 51.1
  4. 4 GPT-5.6 Terra 47.6
  5. 5 Claude Opus 5.5 44.3
  6. 6 Gemini 3.8 Flash 43.0
  7. 7 Claude Sonnet 5.5 40.9
  8. 8 GLM-5.3 38.9
  9. 9 Kimi K3 38.3
  10. 10 DeepSeek V4.1 Flash 36.5

Source: Official Quant-Arena leaderboard

#EntryScoreSettingDateSource
1 Kepler-1 77.6 Official leaderboard
2 GPT-6 Astra 51.3 Sep 2026 Official leaderboard
3 GPT-6 Sol 51.1 Sep 2026 Official leaderboard
4 GPT-5.6 Terra 47.6 Jul 2026 Official leaderboard
5 Claude Opus 5.5 44.3 Sep 2026 Official leaderboard
6 Gemini 3.8 Flash 43.0 Sep 2026 Official leaderboard
7 Claude Sonnet 5.5 40.9 Sep 2026 Official leaderboard
8 GLM-5.3 38.9 Aug 2026 Official leaderboard
9 Kimi K3 38.3 Jul 2026 Official leaderboard
10 DeepSeek V4.1 Flash 36.5 Sep 2026 Official leaderboard

Number one over time

Lab claims count from the day the card came out, independent runs from the model’s release.

OpenAI
Own leaderboard 1 leader

Source: Official Quant-Arena leaderboard

Scores over time

All the scores we have, one dot each, so a model tested at several settings appears more than once.

On the benchmark’s own leaderboard
35.0 40.0 45.0 50.0 55.0 35.0 40.0 45.0 50.0 55.0

Source: Official Quant-Arena leaderboard

No lab model card reports it yet

We read the headline results of 522 launch posts from 52 labs, and none of them list this benchmark.

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