Benchmark Almanac

Human Behavior Bench

Gemini 4 Argon 80.6 leads since October 2026
Not in model cards

Models predict how specified groups of U.S. adults answer closed survey questions, as a distribution over options. Scored as 1 minus total variation distance.

1,199 tasks, 239 public and 960 private, from surveys run June to September 2026. Launched October 20th, 2026.

Released
October 2026
Kind
Real-world events
Level
Expert
Scored
Checked automatically
Answers
Prediction
Tasks
Public, plus a private test set
Strongest model tested
Claude Opus 5.5 #4 on the capability index
Last model added
September 2026
Scores refreshed
November 12th, 2026
11
Models scored on its own leaderboard

Gemini 4 Argon leads with 80.6

Best score per model from the benchmark's own leaderboard, read on November 12th, 2026. Where a model ran with several settings or harnesses, we keep its best.

  1. 1 Gemini 4 Argon 80.6
  2. 2 Claude Opus 5 80.2
  3. 3 Gemini 3.7 Flash 79.7
  4. 4 GPT-5.6 Sol 79.5
  5. 5 Claude Opus 5.5 79.3
  6. 6 Gemini 3.8 Flash 79.2
  7. 7 Gemini 3 Flash 78.5
  8. 8 GPT-5.6 Terra 77.8
  9. 9 Gemini 3.5 Flash-Lite 75.9
  10. 10 Grok 4.7 75.2
  11. 11 Grok 4.20 non-reasoning 73.5

Source: Official Human Behavior Bench leaderboard

#ModelScoreSettingDateSource
1 Gemini 4 Argon 80.6 Sep 2026 Official leaderboard
2 Claude Opus 5 80.2 Jul 2026 Official leaderboard
3 Gemini 3.7 Flash 79.7 Aug 2026 Official leaderboard
4 GPT-5.6 Sol 79.5 Jul 2026 Official leaderboard
5 Claude Opus 5.5 79.3 Sep 2026 Official leaderboard
6 Gemini 3.8 Flash 79.2 Sep 2026 Official leaderboard
7 Gemini 3 Flash 78.5 Dec 2025 Official leaderboard
8 GPT-5.6 Terra 77.8 Jul 2026 Official leaderboard
9 Gemini 3.5 Flash-Lite 75.9 Jul 2026 Official leaderboard
10 Grok 4.7 75.2 Sep 2026 Official leaderboard
11 Grok 4.20 73.5 non-reasoning Feb 2026 Official leaderboard

Number one over time

Lab claims count from the day the card came out, independent runs from the model’s release.

Google DeepMind
Own leaderboard 1 leader

Source: Official Human Behavior Bench leaderboard

Scores over time

All the scores we have, one dot each, so a model tested at several settings appears more than once.

On the benchmark’s own leaderboard
72.0 74.0 76.0 78.0 80.0 82.0 2026 72.0 74.0 76.0 78.0 80.0 82.0 2026

Source: Official Human Behavior Bench leaderboard

No lab model card reports it yet

We read the headline results of 522 launch posts from 52 labs, and none of them list this benchmark.

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