Benchmark Almanac

Echo General AI Prediction Leaderboard

EchoZ-1.0 1,025 tops its leaderboard DeepSeek-V4-Pro 1,017 leads the models we track
Not in model cards

Models forecast unresolved events drawn from prediction markets, synthesized news questions and expert-written questions. Forecasts made at aligned times are compared in pairwise battles, and an Elo fit ranks the models.

Domains include finance, politics, crypto, sports and esports. The March 27th, 2026 snapshot had 11 models, including UniPat's own EchoZ-1.0.

Released
March 2026
Kind
Real-world events
Level
Expert
Scored
Settled by events
Answers
Prediction
Tasks
Kept private
Strongest model tested
GPT-5.4 #27 on the capability index
Last model added
April 2026
Scores refreshed
November 12th, 2026
18
Entries on its own leaderboard, 17 models we track

EchoZ-1.0 tops the leaderboard with 1,025

Best score per entry from the benchmark's own leaderboard, read on November 12th, 2026. Where a model ran with several settings or harnesses, we keep its best. Names in gray aren't in our model list: fine-tunes, agent systems, products and older models. They don't count toward leaders. The best model we track is DeepSeek-V4-Pro, at 1,017.

The newest model with a score here came out in April 2026, and nobody has tested a newer one. Among the 20 highest-ranked models on the capability index, these have no score yet:

18 entries. Scroll sideways for the rest. Bars start at 900.

  1. 1,025 EchoZ-1.0
  2. 1,017 DeepSeek-V4-Pro
  3. 1,017 Kimi K2.6
  4. 1,008 Claude Opus 4.6
  5. 1,006 Gemini 3.1 Pro
  6. 1,005 GLM-5.1
  7. 1,003 Grok 4.1 Fast
  8. 1,001 MiniMax-M2.7
  9. 1,001 GPT-5.2
  10. 1,001 Grok 4.20
  11. 999 GPT-5.4
  12. 996 Seed2.0 Pro
  13. 986 Qwen3.5 397B-A17B
  14. 984 GLM-5
  15. 979 MiniMax-M2.5
  16. 966 Qwen3-Max
  17. 964 DeepSeek-V3.2
  18. 920 Kimi K2.5

Bars start at 900.

  1. 1 EchoZ-1.0 1,025
  2. 2 DeepSeek-V4-Pro 1,017
  3. 3 Kimi K2.6 1,017
  4. 4 Claude Opus 4.6 1,008
  5. 5 Gemini 3.1 Pro 1,006
  6. 6 GLM-5.1 1,005
  7. 7 Grok 4.1 Fast 1,003
  8. 8 MiniMax-M2.7 1,001
  9. 9 GPT-5.2 1,001
  10. 10 Grok 4.20 1,001
  11. 11 GPT-5.4 999
  12. 12 Seed2.0 Pro 996
  13. 13 Qwen3.5 397B-A17B 986
  14. 14 GLM-5 984
  15. 15 MiniMax-M2.5 979
  16. 16 Qwen3-Max 966
  17. 17 DeepSeek-V3.2 964
  18. 18 Kimi K2.5 920

Source: Official Echo General AI Prediction Leaderboard leaderboard

#EntryScoreSettingDateSource
1 EchoZ-1.0 1,025 Official leaderboard
2 DeepSeek-V4-Pro 1,017 Apr 2026 Official leaderboard
3 Kimi K2.6 1,017 Apr 2026 Official leaderboard
4 Claude Opus 4.6 1,008 Feb 2026 Official leaderboard
5 Gemini 3.1 Pro 1,006 Feb 2026 Official leaderboard
6 GLM-5.1 1,005 Apr 2026 Official leaderboard
7 Grok 4.1 Fast 1,003 Nov 2025 Official leaderboard
8 MiniMax-M2.7 1,001 Mar 2026 Official leaderboard
9 GPT-5.2 1,001 Dec 2025 Official leaderboard
10 Grok 4.20 1,001 Feb 2026 Official leaderboard
11 GPT-5.4 999 Mar 2026 Official leaderboard
12 Seed2.0 Pro 996 Feb 2026 Official leaderboard
13 Qwen3.5 397B-A17B 986 Feb 2026 Official leaderboard
14 GLM-5 984 Feb 2026 Official leaderboard
15 MiniMax-M2.5 979 Feb 2026 Official leaderboard
16 Qwen3-Max 966 Sep 2025 Official leaderboard
17 DeepSeek-V3.2 964 Dec 2025 Official leaderboard
18 Kimi K2.5 920 Jan 2026 Official leaderboard

3 models have held number one on the official leaderboard since its release in March 2026

Lab claims count from the day the card came out, independent runs from the model’s release.

Anthropic Moonshot AI DeepSeek
Own leaderboard Not tested since Apr 2026
DeepSeek-V4-Pro 1,017

Source: Official Echo General AI Prediction Leaderboard leaderboard

Scores over time

All the scores we have, one dot each, so a model tested at several settings appears more than once.

On the benchmark’s own leaderboard
900 925 950 975 1,000 2026 900 925 950 975 1,000 2026

Source: Official Echo General AI Prediction Leaderboard leaderboard

No lab model card reports it yet

We read the headline results of 522 launch posts from 52 labs, and none of them list this benchmark.

More in Forecasting

All 13 in Forecasting
  • ForecastBench In use Models give probabilities for 500 auto-generated questions per round about future events, drawn from prediction markets and time-series datasets. Forecasts are scored with difficulty-adjusted Brier scores once the questions resolve. GPT-5.5 0.11
  • Prophet Arena In use Models and agents forecast open Kalshi prediction-market events and are scored once the events resolve. The live board ranks a difficulty-adjusted Arena score and also reports calibration error and market return. Claude Opus 5.5 86.2
  • Human Behavior Bench Not in model cards Models predict how specified groups of U.S. adults answer closed survey questions, as a distribution over options. Scored as 1 minus total variation distance. Gemini 4 Argon 80.6
  • BTF-3 Not in model cards Agents forecast already-resolved binary and numeric questions while researching a frozen snapshot of the web. Scoring pools Brier and ranked probability scores. Claude Opus 5 0.12
  • FutureX Not in model cards Agents predict upcoming events collected daily from 195 websites in 11 domains, within a one-week window. Answers are scored once real results are crawled, with harder tiers weighted more. Grok 4 27.9
  • KellyBench Not in model cards Agents bet through a simulated 2023 to 24 English Premier League season with historical data. The score is long-term bankroll growth. GPT-5.4 -7.90%